EM market currency report snapshot

In this article, we will take a look at the Emerging Market Currencies. Lately, we have a strong USD strengthening against these currencies which could be a worrying sign of their incoming weakness or a trade war. No matter the reason is, we could see a new crisis looming in the stock markets across the world if we get a slow down of this economies. We will take a look at the long-term technical analysis perspective of the USD/BRL, USD/RUB, USD/CNY  and USD/TRY.

USDBRL is breaking below the 55 WMA (weighted moving average-red line) 3.8080 level. this break could lead to a 3.7000 pullback.  This is the strong level of the support and you should wait for a reaction. A bounce off this level would lead to a 3.8000 test again. The pair needs a daily close above the 3,8080 level for the upside continuation.

USDBRL trading technical anaylsis

 

 

USDRUB is breaking above the consolidation triangle 63 level for an upside continuation into the 67 level. At this stage, you should look for the long trade entries with the stop loss below the 62 level targeting 67 at least on the ongoing pullback. The pair is in the middle of the consolidation and the strong resistance is 64.1410 level. We need to see a daily close above the 64 level for the upside continuation.

USDRUB technical analysis

 

 

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USDCNY is breaking above the daily 200 SMA 6.4564 level. This is an important upside break for the pair and it would lead to an upside extension into the 6.9000 level. There is no visible target on the upside before 7.000 level.

USDCNY price action technical analysis

 

 

USDTRY is breaking above the strong upside resistance 4.9600 level for a hard upside extension. Prepare yourself for the best trade of the year. Look only for the long trade entries with the stop loss below 4.8600 level.

USDTRY price action technical analysis

 

We have used the combination of the top-down trading analysis to get this key levels explained on the charts. USD is in the near-term uptrend continuation against the most of the EM currencies and we could see the continuation of this trend moving forward.

Happy trading! (click on the chart to enlarge it)

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