In this article, we will take a look at the Emerging Market Currencies. Lately, we have a strong USD strengthening against these currencies which could be a worrying sign of their incoming weakness or a trade war. No matter the reason is, we could see a new crisis looming in the stock markets across the world if we get a slow down of this economies. We will take a look at the long-term technical analysis perspective of the USD/BRL, USD/RUB, USD/CNY, and USD/TRY.
USDBRL bounced off the 4.0000 level. Going into the next week we could see some consolidation in a range from 4.0000-4.2000 before any upside continuation into the 4.4000Â level.
USDRUB is testing the 70 level of the rising wedge. This rising wedge level could lead to a rejection for a pullback into the 67 level. We are looking at the possible swing down into the 64 level before the next leg up. A daily close below the 66.70 is required.
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USDCNY is in the consolidation 6.8000-6.8400 zone. We could see a break of this range soon and look for a possible pullback lower or extension higher depending on a price action.
USDTRY broke below the 6.4000 triangle level. This break is leading to a possible retest of the strong upside support 5.1000-5.4600 zone. Invalidation of the 5.1000-5.4600 zone test will come only on a daily close above the 6.6400 level.