Just a broken consolidation retest on DAX?

DAX is retesting the broken consolidation triangle

 

What is happening with the DAX? We are seeing the MONTHLY November pullback from the strong downside resistance zone 11250-11500. Does this mean that the DAX will go for 13000 again? Should you be building the buying position…If we look at the monthly chart we can see a huge reversal month happening in November but so far this is just a consolidation pullback, and we need to see a break above 13100 to call this an uptrend extension.

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DAX monthly chart

The only thing that we can’t rule out is a violent price action after the November US election, so consolidation around 13000-13100 is not excluded and this is exactly the strong resistance zone for an upside continuation. At the moment a break and confirmation above 13100 will be a clear indicator that the upside extension is valid and dominant. We can see that clearly on the weekly chart below. Rejection in that zone or here could lead to a huge downside reversal and a retest of the important 11200-11500 zone.

DAX weekly chart

On a daily chart,

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We have used the combination of the top-down trading analysis to get these key levels explained in the charts.

 



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